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text-align: left;"/></p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;"><strong>【民主党】</strong></p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;"><strong>希拉里通过抛硬币胜选</strong></p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">由于希拉里与佛蒙特州联邦参议员桑德斯票数极为接近，得票率均接近50%，二人迟迟无法分出胜负。直至当地时间2日凌晨3点，艾奥瓦州民主党委员会发布声明宣布希拉里以微弱优势胜出，并强调二人的得票率极为接近。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">据英国媒体报道，希拉里的得票率为49.9%，桑德斯的得票率为49.6%。其实，希拉里险胜甚至还有运气因素，她通过抛硬币赢得几个代表席位。根据民主党党团会议选举规则，遇到平局，可以通过抛掷硬币决定胜负。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">8年前曾兵败艾奥瓦的希拉里对所有支持她此次竞选的艾奥瓦民众表示感激。桑德斯则表示，他和支持者们达成了政治“传统建制派”认为无法做到的事情，并强调“不要低估我们”。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;"><br/></p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;"><strong>分析希拉里虽胜犹败</strong></p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">中国社科院美国研究所助理研究员刁大明认为，希拉里被视为民主党的头号“种子”，在民调强势情况下，仅以微弱优势险胜桑德斯，可以说是虽胜犹败。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">75岁的桑德斯虽然以民主党人身份登记，但他实际上是一个游离于两党之外的独立派人士，自称是“民主社会党”人。为何这样一个圈外人能与希拉里不相上下？刁大明指出，桑德斯虽然年龄大，却被年轻人视为大选新面孔，他们期待桑德斯这种谋求改变的圈外人。出口民调显示，60%首次参与初选者支持桑德斯，60%非首次参选者支持希拉里。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">对于民主党的其他竞选人而言，目前这种胶着的选情会让人感觉希拉里并非不可战胜。接下来的新罕布什尔州初选，桑德斯的优势较大，会进一步给希拉里带来压力。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">刁大明表示，希拉里已调整政策，但选民对希拉里态度很分明，不会因为她的摇摆而改变。其他隐患也让希拉里的竞选之路不会一帆风顺，如邮件门、克林顿基金会也卷入邮件门。据报道，本月底要公布一部分邮件，要检查这些邮件是否泄露国家机密或是否涉及腐败。</p><p><br style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;"/></p> </div> <p class="Editor">编辑：杨岚 </p> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="Paging"> <a href="/c/2016-02-03/692975.shtml">01</a> <a href="/c/2016-02-03/692975_1.shtml" class="a">02</a> <a href="/c/2016-02-03/692975_2.shtml">03</a> </div> <p class="Keyword">关键词：美国大选首场党内预选美国大选美国党内预选</p>    <h1 class="pv_title_2 mt_15"><a href="/index.shtml" target="_blank" class="more mtb_14">更多</a><span id="i2i2jyu4k" class="t" id="a3"><a href="/index.shtml"><img src="/images/xg_t1.jpg" /></a></span></h1> 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