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　　新华社北京１月１１日电题：２００万奶农如何摆脱“倒奶杀牛”养殖悲剧－－本轮卖奶难现象透视</p> <p> 　　</p> <p> 　　去年下半年以来，在国际奶价走跌、国内乳品消费不振等因素直接推动下，我国部分地区出现了卖奶难现象，“倒奶”“杀牛”时有发生。为何频频上演“倒奶杀牛”现象？我国２００万奶农如何才能跳出“卖奶杀牛”乳业魔咒？新华社记者就此采访了奶农、奶业专家和政府官员。</p> <p> <strong>　 “倒奶杀牛”进一步蔓延</strong></p> <p> 　　“留着卖不掉，倒了又可惜，每天只好把多出来的牛奶拉到敬老院送爱心’。”成美玉是山东省东营的一家奶牛养殖户，谈到卖奶难，她愁容满面。</p> <p> 　　倒奶仅仅是开始。随着收购价格的持续走低和乳企对鲜乳的限购限收，去年底以来，奶户杀牛弃养现象开始出现。“附近地区奶牛养殖场已经开始杀奶牛了。”山东省梁山县奶牛养殖大户裴树克告诉记者。</p> <p> 　　记者采访了解到，除了山东，“倒奶杀牛”现象也蔓延至河北、内蒙古、黑龙江等主产区，甚至出现在广东等南方地区。</p> <p> 　　对于目前形势，农业部指出，近期一些乳品加工企业限收停收生鲜乳，导致国内部分地区发生卖奶难问题，甚至出现奶农倒奶杀牛现象，并有扩大蔓延趋势。</p> <p> 　　这种现象并非初次出现。过去几年来，“倒奶杀牛”就曾在奶业主产区一些地方屡次上演，成为近年来众多散户奶农难以摆脱的乳业魔咒。</p> <p> 　　“倒奶杀牛现象政府要高度重视。”中国乳业杂志社社长冯艳秋认为，奶牛的饲养周期远比鸡、猪等畜禽长，养２年多才能产奶，存栏基数一旦下降很难恢复，而国内的上游养殖链如果断裂，下游加工企业就会被国外控制。</p> <p> 　　“奶牛养殖是不少农民脱贫致富的希望所在，很多奶牛都是靠贷款购买，如果卖奶难继续蔓延，奶农生存状况不容乐观。”冯艳秋说。</p> <p> <strong>　　“倒奶杀牛”背后凸显奶农弱势地位</strong></p> <p> 　　专家指出，奶源过剩、消费低迷是造成“倒奶杀牛”的直接原因，深层次原因则是奶农与奶企间关系失衡，凸显奶农的弱势地位。</p> <p> 　　“从供需关系看，造成卖奶难的直接原因有两点，一是进口奶粉价格持续走低，国内奶源总体过剩，二是我国乳制品消费市场低迷，导致需求减少。”中信证券首席策略师毛长青说。</p> <p> 　　数据显示，去年以来国际奶粉价格持续走低，同样１吨进口奶粉，到岸价比国产奶粉平均低１万元左右，乳品企业更愿用进口奶粉作为加工原料，对国内生鲜乳的依赖明显减少，而去年国内生鲜乳产量增长５．２％，进一步导致奶源的过剩。</p> <p> 　　此外，乳制品消费市场低迷也是一重要原因。数据显示，去年前１０个月我国乳制品总产量同比下降０．０４％，乳品企业收购意愿降低。</p> <p> 　　“除此之外，奶农‘倒奶杀牛’还有更深层次的原因。”据农业部奶业办公室副主任邓兴照介绍，与奶业发达国家大都实行养、加、销一体化经营不同，我国奶牛养殖和乳品加工脱节，乳品企业掌控生鲜乳的收购权和定价权，奶农在价格上没有发言权，“奶少时抢奶、奶多时拒收”，成为乳企和奶农失衡关系的真实写照。</p> <p> 　　“养殖环节的利润占乳业整体利润不足１０％，奶价议价权掌控在乳品企业手中，形势不好时奶农几乎没有讨价还价的余地，极端情况下只能杀牛弃养。”原中国奶协常务理事王丁棉说。</p> <p> <strong>　　摆脱“倒奶杀牛”养殖悲剧需要分步走</strong></p> <p> 　　农业部１１日表示，受乳品企业库存奶粉较多、乳制品消费增速下降及国际市场预期增产降价等因素影响，未来乳品企业收购生鲜乳的积极性仍不高，养殖小区和散养户仍将面临较大压力。</p> <p> 　　专家建议，要出台应急政策，督促乳品企业履行收购合同，做好生鲜乳收购，落实奶农救助补贴，将奶农的损失减少到最低；要理顺乳品企业和奶农利益机制，让奶农在价格上吃上“定心丸”；长远则应构建现代奶业生产经营体制，向规模化养殖转变，提升竞争力，从根本上帮助奶农摆脱“倒奶杀牛”养殖悲剧。</p> <p> 　　“从短期看，有关部门可以组织收储鲜奶喷粉或者给奶农发放补贴暂时渡过难关。从长远看，必须构建合理的企业奶农的利益共?；疲媚膛Ｑ秤肴橹破芳庸じ叨绕ヅ?，在利益关系上更为紧密。”毛长青说。</p> <p> 　　“奶业是个舶来品。在国外，企业一般是先有养殖场再进行加工，奶农是乳品企业的股东，二者构成紧密联系的利益共同体。但国内乳业产业是两张皮，奶业养殖和加工企业相互独立，主要靠合同供奶，变数多风险大。”冯艳秋建议，中国乳业应向养殖、加工、销售一体化方向发展，实现产业的融合。</p> <p> 　　“必须创新奶业生产经营体制。”邓兴照建议，要积极扶持奶牛大户、联户经营、家庭牧场等经营主体，扶持奶农合作社发展，提高奶农组织化程度和整体竞争力，引导奶农向标准化规模养殖方向发展，引导中国乳业向现代乳业转变。”（参与采写记者：王宇、于文静、林晖、潘林青、叶婧）</p> </div> <p class="Editor">编辑：罗韦 </p> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="Paging"> </div> <p class="Keyword">关键词：奶农养殖倒奶杀牛企业</p> <h1 class="pv_title_2 mt_15"><a target="_blank" class="more mtb_14">更多</a><span id="i2i2jyu4k" class="t" id="a3"><a ><img src="http://www.rmzxb.com.cn/images/xg_t1.jpg" /></a></span></h1> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="pa_0_5_0_10"> <ul class="Related_ul bh_150"> </ul> </div> <div style="height:40px"></div>  <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="advContent"><div style="height:40px"></div><script charset="gbk" src="http://p.tanx.com/ex?i=mm_58500226_6900940_24396084"></script></div>  <h1 class="pv_title_2 mt_55"><a target="_blank" class="more mtb_14">更多</a><span id="i2i2jyu4k" class="t" id="a4"><a ><img 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