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title="分享到新浪微博"></a><a href="#" class="bds_tqq" data-cmd="tqq" title="分享到腾讯微博"></a><a href="#" class="bds_renren" data-cmd="renren" title="分享到人人网"></a><a href="#" class="bds_weixin" data-cmd="weixin" title="分享到微信"></a></div> <script>window._bd_share_config={"common":{"bdSnsKey":{},"bdText":"","bdMini":"2","bdMiniList":false,"bdPic":"","bdStyle":"0","bdSize":"16"},"share":{}};with(document)0[(getElementsByTagName('head')[0]||body).appendChild(createElement('script')).src='http://bdimg.share.baidu.com/static/api/js/share.js?v=89860593.js?cdnversion='+~(-new Date()/36e5)];</script>  </span><span id="i2i2jyu4k" class="fr">分享到：<img src="http://www.rmzxb.com.cn/images/fx.jpg" /> </span> </div> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="text_box"> <p align="center"> <p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">11月30日24时，新一轮成品油调价窗口再次开启。国内油价料迎来“三连跌”，全国大多数地区92号汽油将回到“6元时代”。这是本月油价第三次下调。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">国内油价下调的原因是国际油价的持续暴跌。近期，国际原油期货价格曾连续12个交易日收跌，创下34年来最长连跌纪录。10月初至今，国际油价暴跌30%。布伦特原油期货在触及近86美元/桶的四年高点后，大幅回落，降至60美元/桶以下；美国WTI原油期货也已接近50美元/桶。国内油价进入“6时代”油价下行能持续多久？油价是不是越低越好？30日晚，《央视财经评论》邀请到中国能源网首席研究员韩晓平和财经评论员章弘做客演播室，深入解析。</p><p style="text-align:center"><img src="/upload/resources/image/2018/12/01/2222075_500x500.png" style="border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; max-width: 580px;"/></p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;"><strong>一降再降底在哪里？</strong></p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">韩晓平：需求不振油价或将持续低迷</p><p style="text-align:center"><img src="/upload/resources/image/2018/12/01/2222076_500x500.png" style="border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; max-width: 580px;"/></p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">中国能源网首席研究员韩晓平：需求不振使得油价持续低迷。最近，通用汽车关闭美国的汽车工厂，造成14700人失业，这个事情确实引起了震动，这说明美国的汽车消费乏力。此外，下半年以来，中国汽车消费也出现了下降。两个全球最主要的汽车市场双双出现下滑，这显然会影响石油消费的需求，需求提振不起来的话，油价就有可能会持续低迷。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">章弘：供给过剩经济放缓地缘政治是主因</p><p style="text-align:center"><img src="/upload/resources/image/2018/12/01/2222077_500x500.png" style="border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; max-width: 580px;"/></p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">财经评论员章弘：供给过剩、经济增长放缓，还有地缘政治因素，应该是这次油价下跌的主要原因。今年上半年委内瑞拉国内的政治非常不稳定，出口遭遇到了很大的阻碍，另外美国恢复了制裁伊朗，这种情况下，油价一度升高。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">石油组织曾经组织过各个产油国进行大量的增产，沙特阿拉伯看到增产太多后油价会出现问题，所以想单方面减产，而美国希望通过增产能让自己的经济向好，这些综合因素导致了产能过剩，进而推动油价下跌。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;"><strong>价格探底越低越好？</strong></p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">韩晓平：低油价是双刃剑有利有弊</p><p style="text-align:center"><img src="/upload/resources/image/2018/12/01/2222078_500x500.png" style="border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; max-width: 580px;"/></p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">中国能源网首席研究员韩晓平：油价下行肯定会刺激经济发展。算一笔账，今年北海布伦特的油价最高达到了80美元，现在是58美元，这样算下来的话，我国目前每天进口原油960万桶，一天大概可以减少2.6亿美元，相当于10几亿人民币，很好地刺激了进口。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">同时来看，油价下行是一个双刃剑，看着很好，但是给我们带来很多的问题。比如，石油工业的上游，很多勘探开发的投入，现在如果不去投入，相关的就业和收入就会受到影响。这样对整个行业，包括石油装备的产业链，都会产生影响。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">章弘：油贱伤“新” 不利于能源创新</p><p style="text-align:center"><img src="/upload/resources/image/2018/12/01/2222079_500x500.png" style="border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; max-width: 580px;"/></p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">财经评论员章弘：油价过低，会伤害到能源创新。长期享受这种低油价，可能对新能源行业发展的各个领域，包括对新能源汽车的研发以及追求，带来伤害。更重要的是担心对新能源研发，对于新能源需求会不利。如果人们觉得既然油价便宜，那就继续用石油好了，何必去想别的办法，所以油价过低，带来最严重的问题，可能会对新能源开发产生阻碍，因此我们一定要放长发展的眼光。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">韩晓平：油价下行能源安全承压</p><p style="text-align:center"><img src="/upload/resources/image/2018/12/01/2222080_500x500.png" style="border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; max-width: 580px;"/></p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">中国能源网首席研究员韩晓平：油价下行，会让我们的能源安全承受很大的压力。未来一年，我们的石油进口会达到4.8亿吨。但是如果因为油价很低，国内的产量上不来，还继续维持在1.9亿吨这样的产能，对外依存度就会达到72%。去年我们的原油对外依存度只有68%多一点，如果继续提升，压力是非常大的。一旦石油供应出现问题，国家的能源安全就会承受巨大的压力。</p> </div> <p class="Editor">编辑：秦云 </p> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="Paging"> </div> <p class="Keyword">关键词：油价 6时代低油价</p> <h1 class="pv_title_2 mt_15"><a target="_blank" class="more mtb_14">更多</a><span id="i2i2jyu4k" class="t" id="a3"><a ><img src="http://www.rmzxb.com.cn/images/xg_t1.jpg" /></a></span></h1> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="pa_0_5_0_10"> <ul class="Related_ul bh_150"> <li><a target="_blank" href="/c/2018-10-15/2189909.shtml">河北定州有黑加油站藏民房老板：有检查会提前通知</a></li> <li><a target="_blank" href="/c/2015-10-29/609182.shtml">广东湛江东海渔政大队为非法捕捞充当“?；ど　?/a></li> <li><a target="_blank" href="/c/2015-07-19/535788.shtml">国企降薪后有员工离职公司专门发文要求约束</a></li> </ul> </div> <div style="height:40px"></div>  <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="advContent"><div style="height:40px"></div><script charset="gbk" 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