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title="分享到新浪微博"></a><a href="#" class="bds_tqq" data-cmd="tqq" title="分享到腾讯微博"></a><a href="#" class="bds_renren" data-cmd="renren" title="分享到人人网"></a><a href="#" class="bds_weixin" data-cmd="weixin" title="分享到微信"></a></div> <script>window._bd_share_config={"common":{"bdSnsKey":{},"bdText":"","bdMini":"2","bdMiniList":false,"bdPic":"","bdStyle":"0","bdSize":"16"},"share":{}};with(document)0[(getElementsByTagName('head')[0]||body).appendChild(createElement('script')).src='http://bdimg.share.baidu.com/static/api/js/share.js?v=89860593.js?cdnversion='+~(-new Date()/36e5)];</script>  </span><span id="i2i2jyu4k" class="fr">分享到：<img src="http://www.rmzxb.com.cn/images/fx.jpg" /> </span> </div> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="text_box"> <p align="center"> <p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">新华社德国慕尼黑２月１６日电（国际观察）慕安会聚焦全球地缘、秩序、治理三大?；?/p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">新华社记者乔继红　朱晟</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">第５４届慕尼黑安全会议（慕安会）１６日至１８日举行?；嵋榻劢沟卦滴；⑷蛑刃?、全球治理、欧盟未来的全球角色等重要议题。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">分析人士指出，当前全球地缘政治和安全风险不断升级，?；ぶ饕逵萦?，大国博弈加剧，慕安会成为洞察国际格局演变的重要“瞭望哨”。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;"><strong>?；屑由?/strong></p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">与往年一样，慕安会主办方会前发布年度安全报告。这份题为《危机边缘，悬崖勒马？》的报告称，２０１７年，美国与朝鲜、沙特与伊朗冲突升级，北约与俄罗斯矛盾不减，乌克兰危机依旧，全球范围军备控制遭遇挑战，民粹主义、单边主义盛行，现有国际秩序体系遭遇前所未有的冲击。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">“过去一年，世界一度站到冲突边缘。”慕安会主席沃尔夫冈·伊申格尔认为，单边行动升级，单个错误决定会引发危险的连锁反应。２０１８年，这些冲突升级抑或缓和，是决定全球安全局势演变方向的关键，也是今年慕安会上亟待探讨解决的问题。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">今年慕安会的与会者包括联合国秘书长古特雷斯、欧盟委员会主席容克、北约秘书长斯托尔滕贝格、国际货币基金组织总裁拉加德、英国首相特雷莎·梅、乌克兰总统波罗申科、奥地利总理库尔茨，以及美国防长和伊朗、沙特、俄罗斯、土耳其等国外长。中国全国人大外事委员会主任委员傅莹作为中方代表参会。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">分析人士指出，本届慕安会上，欧洲安全、跨大西洋关系、中东局势、朝鲜半岛局势等将成为与会者重点探讨话题。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;"><strong>欧洲寻找方向</strong></p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">作为欧洲主导的安全论坛，本届慕安会无法回避欧洲自身面临的各种挑战：英国“脱欧”道险且长、欧盟成员国分歧加大、难民问题悬而未决，跨大西洋关系不确定性上升……</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">德国总理默克尔去年就曾表示，欧洲可以完全依靠他人（美国）的时代已经结束，“欧洲人必须将命运掌握在自己手中”。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">为加强欧洲内部的融合，２０１７年，欧盟成员国签署了“永久结构性合作”防务合作协议（ＰＥＳＣＯ），在欧洲防务一体化上迈出重要一步。德法还计划共同研制下一代战斗机。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">分析人士指出，欧洲作为一个整体，希望在国际事务中发挥更大作用，成为动荡国际秩序中的一个稳定力量。欧洲未来走向何方，如何处理与美俄等大国关系，安全和发展政策有何调整，也是本届会议一大焦点。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;"><strong>关注美国变量</strong></p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">本届慕安会上，美国防长马蒂斯、总统国家安全顾问麦克马斯特，以及资深参议员麦凯恩带队的国会代表团将联袂出现。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">慕安会的年度报告指出，过去一年，特朗普政府奉行的“美国优先”政策，以及相继退出多个国际组织的决定，正在拉大美国与其传统盟友的距离。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">美国普林斯顿大学学者约翰·艾肯贝里指出，美国作为全球最强大的国家，却在“破坏自己亲手创建的世界秩序”。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">慕安会的报告指出，特朗普政府对地区和全球多边主义兴趣索然，出于自身利益考量更愿推动双边关系，美国奉行的并非孤立主义，而是单边主义。世界可能已开启“多秩序”的新时期，非西方国家开始构建国际事务新框架，新兴力量深度参与全球治理的趋势明显。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">作为当前国际政治的主要玩家和影响国际秩序的一大变量，美国外交和安全政策何去何从，同样成为本届慕安会各方关注焦点。（完）</p> </div> <p class="Editor">编辑：周佳佳 </p> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="Paging"> </div> <p class="Keyword">关键词：慕安全球秩序美国欧洲</p> <h1 class="pv_title_2 mt_15"><a target="_blank" class="more mtb_14">更多</a><span id="i2i2jyu4k" class="t" id="a3"><a ><img src="http://www.rmzxb.com.cn/images/xg_t1.jpg" /></a></span></h1> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="pa_0_5_0_10"> <ul class="Related_ul bh_150"> <li><a target="_blank" href="/c/2017-02-20/1353575.shtml">“慕安会”释放信号：欧美与俄缠斗难止息</a></li> <li><a target="_blank" href="/c/2017-02-20/1353254.shtml">王毅慕安会上提“四点方案”：和平与发展仍是世界主流</a></li> <li><a target="_blank" href="/c/2017-02-19/1350403.shtml">国际秩序面临深刻调整</a></li> <li><a target="_blank" href="/c/2016-02-15/697824.shtml">朴槿惠对中国“对朝态度”感到失望美日借朝对华施压</a></li> </ul> </div> <div 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