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</h1> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="pa_0_5_0_10"> <h1 class="Content_title" id="hh"> <span id="a" style="">蔡英文赌气“反制”大陆乱?！捌呱巳敝换嵯壬俗约?/span> </h1> <script>/*jQuery('#hh').width(jQuery('#a').width());*/</script> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="Remark"> <span>2017年06月16日 14:44 | 作者: 王思羽 | 来源：<a target="_blank">中国台湾网</a></span> <span id="i2i2jyu4k" class="fr">  <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="bdsharebuttonbox"><a href="#" class="bds_more" data-cmd="more"></a><a href="#" class="bds_qzone" data-cmd="qzone" title="分享到QQ空间"></a><a href="#" class="bds_tsina" data-cmd="tsina" title="分享到新浪微博"></a><a href="#" class="bds_tqq" data-cmd="tqq" title="分享到腾讯微博"></a><a href="#" class="bds_renren" data-cmd="renren" title="分享到人人网"></a><a href="#" class="bds_weixin" data-cmd="weixin" title="分享到微信"></a></div> <script>window._bd_share_config={"common":{"bdSnsKey":{},"bdText":"","bdMini":"2","bdMiniList":false,"bdPic":"","bdStyle":"0","bdSize":"16"},"share":{}};with(document)0[(getElementsByTagName('head')[0]||body).appendChild(createElement('script')).src='http://bdimg.share.baidu.com/static/api/js/share.js?v=89860593.js?cdnversion='+~(-new Date()/36e5)];</script>  </span><span id="i2i2jyu4k" class="fr">分享到：<img src="http://www.rmzxb.com.cn/images/fx.jpg" /> </span> </div> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="text_box"> <p align="center"> <p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">中国台湾网6月16日讯中美洲国家巴拿马宣布与台湾断绝所谓“外交”关系已3日有余，台当局领导人蔡英文中心的怒火却越烧越旺。继当局14日表态，对此前重申一中原则，要求台湾搬迁驻该国机构的“非邦交国”——尼日利亚，展开“对等报复”后。台陆委会昨(15日)晚间更召开记者会，强硬宣布对陆“反制三策”，将怒火彻底烧向大陆。霎时间，台当局报复、“反制”大陆的措施如箭在弦上，蓄势待发。只可惜外界对此并不看好，质疑蔡当局的“两岸政策调整”丝毫伤不到大陆，最后只能落个“伤敌不成却损己”的下场。</p><div style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;"><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">台当局“报复”大陆大陆居民赴台拟严审</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">台湾13日被巴拿马通知“分手”，台当局领导人蔡英文亲自上阵召开记者会，宣称“绝不屈服压力”云云，更撂下重话，声言不排除“调整两岸政策”。自蔡当局上台以来，行政效率低下，始终是遭人诟病的重点之一。近期频频找蔡英文抗议的台湾少数民族人士，便是因为当局早前承诺的政策迟迟不见影儿，深感上当受骗。另外，就在“台巴断交”当天(13日)，被频频点名竞逐2020“大位”的台湾鸿海集团董事长郭台铭还在表示，日后除非特别必要，否则他绝不回台投资，因为当局行政效率太差。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">不过这一次，蔡上台1年1个月内的第二次“被甩”，似真的激发起当局行政效率。事隔仅两天多，台陆委会便于15日晚间召开记者会。相对于13日“被分手”当天的情绪宣泄，陆委会昨天直接拍出了“调整两岸政策”的具体方向。据港台媒体报道，蔡当局研议的措施包括：对大陆官员或“不友善的人”入台严格审查；今年推动参与联合国不排除有动作；陆生纳保政策再评估等。于是乎，蔡英文当局报复、“反制“大陆的措施似已箭在弦上，蓄势待发，只可惜并不为人看好。香港中评社今日评论文章《报复无益于台湾也伤不了大陆》直言，上述三项可能的报复措施，无一能实质威胁到大陆，均伤不了大陆。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">针对所谓严审大陆官员入台、陆生纳保再评估问题，文中分析，一年来两岸关系急冻，陆官、陆客、陆生入台本已大幅减少，再加限制或严审，数量一定会继续下降，受损的只会是台湾业者、商家、高校。对于推动参与联合国问题，则有人提醒蔡当局，勿忘陈水扁当年的教训，挑衅是要付代价的。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">文章回顾，自1993年起，台当局连续16年通过“友邦提案”，妄图让台湾加入或重返联合国，2008年马英九上任后隔年即中断此政策。去年政党轮替后，蔡当局也未推动加入联合国提案，仅请“友邦”在联合国大会总辩论上发言“挺台”。台湾历年推动参与联合国案都以失败告终，如果蔡当局今年再来一次，结果也会一样。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">文章认为，蔡当局的确需要重新评估两岸情势，对两岸事务各面向与规章加以检讨，而评估及检讨之后需要做的，不是所谓进行报复或“反制”，而是“认清客观大势，做出明智抉择”。形势再明显不过，报复无益于台湾，也伤不到大陆，越拖下去台湾会越被动。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">赌气强化两岸对抗只会伤及台湾</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">台湾《旺报》今日刊发中国社科院台研所副所长张冠华受访内容指出，“台巴断交”是台湾不承认“九二共识”所致，蔡当局事先也能预料到。过去，两岸间有“九二共识”的政治互信，便有共同减少在国际上内耗的默契，也就是台湾所说的“外交休兵”，两岸保持相互克制。面对如今状况，蔡当局应思考拒不承认“九二共识”的两岸政策能不能走下去，而非采取提高两岸对抗的做法，且若蔡英文转而强化两岸对抗，只会加剧两岸关系的恶化，对台湾在国际上的参与将产生更为不利的影响。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">至于大陆如何因应蔡当局对大陆的“反制”？张冠华表示，大陆坚持反对任何形式的“台独”立场相当坚定，具体就看蔡当局提出何种措施。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">“蔡英文，你凭什么调整两岸政策？”岛内中国文化大学政治学系讲座教授陈一新今日发文指出，蔡英文既然敢“神勇”地说出“调整两岸政策”等语带威胁的话狠话，不少人可能认为她必然“有两把刷子”，但是，蔡手中的真正的工具与筹码在哪里？难道真要让台湾重新回到“烽火外交”？当台湾陷入四面无援的孤立境地又有谁能来救？</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">陈一新回顾，陈水扁执政时代，台湾至少还有不少“外交”工具，包括援外技术、资金、医护人才与高科技，可以勉强支撑“烽火外交”。当然，“烽火外交”到后来也走下去了，被当时的美国副国务卿佐立克消遣为“撞墙外交”。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">陈一新指出，一直以来，蔡英文只有号称“维持现状”的“空心菜”两岸政策，但在既无工具与筹码，既无国际奥援也无人民支持的情况下，说要“调整两岸政策”，恐怕充其量也只是一时气话而已。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">对大陆乱?！捌呱巳?只会“伤敌不成先伤己”</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">金庸大师的武侠名著里，曾记述过一门独辟蹊径的武功，名唤“七伤拳”。该拳法的巨大威力在于，出拳时声势煊赫，一拳中有七股不同劲力，若敌人抵挡不住，便会深受内伤。但“副作用”是，若习练者未达登峰造极之境，“七伤拳”则会未及伤敌先伤己身。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">目前，蔡英文对陆施展“反制三策”中，非但无一能伤及大陆，只会让岛内业者、商家、高校，特别是台湾的外事空间进一步受到损伤和缩限。加剧两岸关系恶化，只会进一步间接拖累岛内经济，让已经陷入内外交困的蔡当局雪上加霜，进一步被民意反噬。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">面对武功家数、招式内力均深不可测的“假想劲敌”大陆，蔡英文所比划的“七伤拳”修为显然远不到家，只能落得“伤敌不成却损己”的下场。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">一年多以前，在“钟摆效应”、“仇中反中”等心理及情绪煽动下，将台湾的前途命运交到这样一位“乱拳师傅”的手里，已让越来越多的岛内民众、学者、媒体人开始后悔、揪心。台湾《联合报》今日刊发资深媒体人孙扬明文章《勿用两岸关系报复“外交”挫折》指出，巴拿马与台“断交”诚属不幸；惟若究其根本，早有迹可循，因此不令人感到意外；反倒是民进党当局在处理时的手法，才令人担心。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">文章表示，两岸关系事关台海区域稳定，甚至涉及美国重大利益，对台湾乃“生死大事”；与“外交”二者之间孰轻孰重，再清楚不过；当局怎么会产生用“检讨两岸关系”报复“外交”挫折的想法？甚至在美国正式表态后，还进一步落实两岸倒退作法？真是要人为蔡英文的政策质量捏把冷汗。</p></div> </div> <p class="Editor">编辑：秦云 </p> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="Paging"> </div> <p class="Keyword">关键词：蔡英文大陆巴拿马断交</p> <h1 class="pv_title_2 mt_15"><a target="_blank" class="more mtb_14">更多</a><span id="i2i2jyu4k" class="t" id="a3"><a ><img src="http://www.rmzxb.com.cn/images/xg_t1.jpg" /></a></span></h1> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="pa_0_5_0_10"> <ul class="Related_ul bh_150"> <li><a target="_blank" href="/c/2017-06-14/1591798.shtml">巴拿马与台"断交" 国民党:蔡英文要为错误政策道歉</a></li> <li><a target="_blank" href="/c/2017-06-13/1590347.shtml">社评：巴拿马弃台是对蔡当局沉重打击</a></li> <li><a target="_blank" href="/c/2017-06-13/1589474.shtml">巴拿马总统通过电视讲话宣布与中国建交</a></li> <li><a target="_blank" href="/c/2017-06-13/1589356.shtml">巴拿马总统正式宣布：巴拿马与中国建立外交关系！</a></li> <li><a target="_blank" href="/c/2017-06-13/1589027.shtml">台媒：巴拿马今日9时将宣布与中国大陆建交！</a></li> <li><a target="_blank" 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