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class="t" id="a1"><a href="/sy/yw/">要闻</a></span> </h1> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="pa_0_5_0_10"> <h1 class="Content_title" id="hh"> <span id="a" style="">法国大?。豪张幽芊衽ぷ邮?/span> </h1> <script>/*jQuery('#hh').width(jQuery('#a').width());*/</script> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="Remark"> <span>2017年04月27日 17:12 | 作者:韩冰　应强 | 来源：<a target="_blank">新华社</a></span> <span id="i2i2jyu4k" class="fr">  <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="bdsharebuttonbox"><a href="#" class="bds_more" data-cmd="more"></a><a href="#" class="bds_qzone" data-cmd="qzone" title="分享到QQ空间"></a><a href="#" class="bds_tsina" data-cmd="tsina" title="分享到新浪微博"></a><a href="#" class="bds_tqq" data-cmd="tqq" title="分享到腾讯微博"></a><a href="#" class="bds_renren" data-cmd="renren" title="分享到人人网"></a><a href="#" class="bds_weixin" data-cmd="weixin" title="分享到微信"></a></div> <script>window._bd_share_config={"common":{"bdSnsKey":{},"bdText":"","bdMini":"2","bdMiniList":false,"bdPic":"","bdStyle":"0","bdSize":"16"},"share":{}};with(document)0[(getElementsByTagName('head')[0]||body).appendChild(createElement('script')).src='http://bdimg.share.baidu.com/static/api/js/share.js?v=89860593.js?cdnversion='+~(-new Date()/36e5)];</script>  </span><span id="i2i2jyu4k" class="fr">分享到：<img src="http://www.rmzxb.com.cn/images/fx.jpg" /> </span> </div> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="text_box"> <p align="center"> <p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">新华社巴黎４月２６日电（国际观察）法国大?。豪张幽芊衽ぷ邮?/p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">新华社记者韩冰　应强</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">法国宪法委员会２６日公布了经该组织确认的法国总统选举首轮投票结果。极右翼政党“国民阵线”候选人勒庞以２１．３０％的得票率进入第二轮投票。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">勒庞近日以十分主动的姿态开始了新一轮竞选，初步达到了“先声夺人”的效果。法国学界多位专家认为，虽然最终选举结果悬念犹存，但勒庞赢面不大。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;"><strong>以退为进　出其不意</strong></p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">首轮投票２３日结束后，勒庞没有一味庆祝自己进入“决赛”，而是采取“以退为进、出其不意”的策略，迅速展开竞选攻势。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">２４日，勒庞在接受法国电视媒体采访时公开表示，自己“暂时中止”“国民阵线”主席一职，以百分之百的总统候选人身份继续竞选。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">法国智库饶勒斯基金会研究“国民阵线”的权威专家让－伊夫·加缪接受新华社记者采访时说，勒庞的这一举动是典型的“以退为进”，“这既不是辞职，也不是决裂”。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">加缪说，此举的用意在于，一方面以象征性的行动向选民展现自己不囿于一党一派、团结所有法国人的姿态；另一方面，由于勒庞在首轮投票中的表现低于预期，党内对其采取的竞选策略出现一些质疑，她此时“辞去”主席一职有利于减轻党内压力，“方便以后更好地回归”。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">２６日，勒庞的对手、“前进”运动候选人马克龙前往故乡——法国北方城市亚眠一家闹罢工的工厂和工人代表会面。出人意料的是，勒庞当日中午也突然到访该厂。由于勒庞在亚眠的支持率明显高于马克龙，她的“突袭”制造了这样的电视画面：一边是马克龙皱着眉头和工人代表们努力沟通，一边是勒庞被兴高采烈的工人们簇拥。这一幕很容易让人以为，勒庞比马克龙更贴近民众。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">对于勒庞精心利用本阵营支持者的热情而创造的电视效果，马克龙指出：“勒庞并没有谈论本质问题，她在将实际问题政治化?！?/p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;"><strong>或将重打“反移民”牌</strong></p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">从法国宪法委员会确认的统计数据来看，勒庞在首轮投票中的得票率低于马克龙的２４．０１％。这一结果与预期相比有差距：投票前，民调曾预测勒庞得票率将位居各候选人之首。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">法国历史学家尼古拉·勒堡日前在接受新华社记者采访时说，研究首轮投票数据可发现，勒庞在退休者、高学历、高收入职业等群体中的支持率仍徘徊在１５％的低位；首次投票的年轻人群体中，勒庞得到的票数低于极左翼候选人梅朗雄，她的受欢迎程度没有人们想象中那么高。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">加缪告诉记者，勒庞此前主打“脱欧”牌，但这一策略的隐患在于，“国民阵线”的支持者阵营中有少数人并不认同这一主张。勒庞和“国民阵线”的核心民意基础在于“反移民”和强调“法国身份认同”，因此在第二轮竞选中，她可能回归这些核心议题。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">加缪认为，在接下来的竞选中，勒庞将着重吸引两大潜在“票仓”：一是右翼共和党候选人菲永的支持者，这一阵营中不少选民对身份认同问题比较敏感，且部分选民厌恶左翼更甚于厌恶“国民阵线”；二是极左翼候选人梅朗雄的支持者。勒庞会告诉他们，这是一个打败资本和精英的历史性机遇。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">加缪说：“勒庞懂得如何进攻，她会把自己和马克龙的对决包装成一个爱国主义者和全球化主义者、聪明的?；ぶ饕逭吆褪谐【霉拇嫡咧涞木龆?。”</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;"><strong>先声夺人　后劲存疑</strong></p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">法国民调机构“哈里斯互动”２６日公布的一项民调结果显示，６１％的选民认为勒庞已成功把握了第二轮竞选的开始，而超过一半的选民认为马克龙已错过这一阶段。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">不过，勒庞的劣势远未得到根本扭转。法国Ｉｆｏｐ市场调查公司２６日公布的民调结果预计，马克龙和勒庞在第二轮投票的得票率分别为６０．５％和３９．５％，这意味着勒庞至少需要再拿到１０．５％的选票才有望创造奇迹。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">连日来，法国总统奥朗德及其所在的左翼社会党都已明确表示支持马克龙。在右翼共和党阵营中，从前总统萨科齐到菲永也都表示会给马克龙投票，共和党本身也发表声明呼吁反对勒庞。梅朗雄虽然迟迟不表态，但其所在的极左翼组织“不屈法国”的发言人２６日召开新闻发布会呼吁支持者们“一票也不要流向‘国民阵线’”。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">在法国政坛多数派别对其表示反对的背景下，勒庞要扭转劣势绝非易事。（完）</p> </div> <p class="Editor">编辑：周佳佳 </p> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="Paging"> </div> <p class="Keyword">关键词：法国大选勒庞扭转劣势</p> <h1 class="pv_title_2 mt_15"><a target="_blank" class="more mtb_14">更多</a><span id="i2i2jyu4k" class="t" id="a3"><a ><img src="http://www.rmzxb.com.cn/images/xg_t1.jpg" /></a></span></h1> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="pa_0_5_0_10"> <ul class="Related_ul bh_150"> </ul> </div> <div style="height:40px"></div>  <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="advContent"><div style="height:40px"></div><script charset="gbk" src="http://p.tanx.com/ex?i=mm_58500226_6900940_24396084"></script></div>  <h1 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