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</div> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="layout pv_nav"><a >首页</a> <a href="/yl/rp/" target="_blank">锐评</a> <a href="/yl/zm/" target="_blank">争鸣</a> <a href="/yl/cl/" target="_blank">策论</a> <a href="/yl/zs/" target="_blank">众说</a> <a href="/yl/zy/" target="_blank">纵议</a> <a href="/yl/mhtx/" target="_blank">漫话天下</a> </div> </div> <div class="i2i2jyu4k" id="content"> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="pv_box m_p ov_hi"> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="bw_750 fl"> <h1 class="pv_title_2"> <span id="i2i2jyu4k" class="site fr"><a href='/'>首页</a>><a href='/yl/'>要论</a>><a href='/yl/rp/'>锐评</a></span> <span id="i2i2jyu4k" class="t" id="a1"><a href="/yl/rp/">锐评</a></span> </h1> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="pa_0_5_0_10"> <h1 class="Content_title" id="hh"> <span id="a" style="">蔡英文不想让海基会发挥大作用</span> </h1> <script>/*jQuery('#hh').width(jQuery('#a').width());*/</script> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="Remark"> <span>2016年09月02日 09:02 | 作者:韦彬 | 来源：<a target="_blank">新京报</a></span> <span id="i2i2jyu4k" class="fr"> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="jiathis_style_24x24"> <a class="jiathis_button_qzone"></a> <a class="jiathis_button_tsina"></a> <a class="jiathis_button_tqq"></a> <a class="jiathis_button_weixin"></a> <a class="jiathis_button_renren"></a> <a class="jiathis jiathis_txt jtico jtico_jiathis" target="_blank"></a> </div> <script type="text/javascript" src="http://v3.jiathis.com/code_mini/jia.js?uid=1399539302485450" charset="utf-8"></script> </span><span id="i2i2jyu4k" class="fr">分享到：<img src="http://www.rmzxb.com.cn/images/fx.jpg" /> </span> </div> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="text_box"> <p align="center"> <p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">在蔡英文不承认“九二共识”的前提下，田弘茂的任命以及?；崮芊⒒拥淖饔茫涫挡谎宰悦?。蔡英文大概也是心知肚明，所以才会在台湾陆委会的业务预算增编的情况下，捐给?；岬木讶纯车袅?成。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">迟迟未定的台湾海基会董事长人选任命，终于在8月的最后一晚有了结果。蔡英文表示，将借重田弘茂的专业与经验，由他带领?；?，协助台商拓展商机、解决问题，维系两岸之间的交流互动。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">那么，新任的海基会董事长田弘茂能为两岸关系带来改变吗？这需要从两方面来看，一是田弘茂其人，二是?；嵩诓逃⑽闹履芊⒒邮裁醋饔?。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">对于田弘茂其人，大家比较关注他的绿营身份，包括是李登辉路线的“铁粉”，在陈水扁时期出任“外交部长”等。因此，田弘茂的任命一出，绿营人士比较放心；但从另一面来说，田弘茂虽是绿营中人，但还是个比较务实、了解大陆的人。与大陆学者、台湾蓝营人士，诸如萧万长、宋楚瑜等，均有交情，也多次到过大陆，在两岸关系上主张务实交流，尤其是通过文化来联结两岸社会。但由此，是否说明两岸关系，能借田弘茂的人事任命而解套呢？</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">台湾的海基会与大陆的海协会一样，均属于得到权力部门授权的民间组织。在两岸官方交流机制出现问题、或不能进行交流时担负起协商任务。但从过往来看，?；嵩诹桨豆叵瞪夏芊⒒佣啻蟮淖饔?，与台湾的领导人密切相关。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">在李登辉时期，由于李登辉的言行导致海协会与?；岬男淌焙檬被怠６诔滤馐逼?，则几乎完全中断。此后，直到接受“九二共识”的马英九上台后，海协会与?；岬闹贫然袒撇旁俣然指矗衷?，拒绝承认“九二共识”的蔡英文，还能让?；峒绦⒒尤绱舜笞饔寐?？</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">尽管蔡英文与田弘茂关系紧密，但?；嶙允贾林斩贾荒艽硎挛裥砸樘?，如果蔡英文不能接受“九二共识”，那么海基会的作为空间必然有限，甚至会像陈水扁时期一样停摆。而这也是宋楚瑜、王金平等人婉拒出任该职的原因。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">所以，综合来看，在蔡英文不承认“九二共识”的前提下，田弘茂的任命以及海基会能发挥的作用，不言自明。?；嵛蠢椿蛐砘岜恢鸾ケ咴祷桨豆叵狄不峒绦窕氯?。田弘茂最终能发挥的作用，大概就是借由两人的关系，影响蔡英文对两岸关系的看法，仅此而已。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">□韦彬（媒体人）</p><p><br style="text-indent: 2em; 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