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id="i2i2jyu4k" class="t" id="a1"><a href="/gqmq/czd/">财·知道</a></span></h1> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="pa_0_5_0_10"> <h1 class="Content_title" id="hh"> <span id="a" style="">万科连发8条公告为复牌保驾业内预判将有2-3个跌停</span> </h1> <script>/*jQuery('#hh').width(jQuery('#a').width());*/</script> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="Remark"> <span>2016年07月04日 09:19 | 来源：<a target="_blank">央广网</a></span> <span id="i2i2jyu4k" class="fr"> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="jiathis_style_24x24"> <a class="jiathis_button_qzone"></a> <a class="jiathis_button_tsina"></a> <a class="jiathis_button_tqq"></a> <a class="jiathis_button_weixin"></a> <a class="jiathis_button_renren"></a> <a class="jiathis jiathis_txt jtico jtico_jiathis" target="_blank"></a> </div> <script type="text/javascript" src="http://v3.jiathis.com/code_mini/jia.js?uid=1399539302485450" charset="utf-8"></script> </span><span id="i2i2jyu4k" class="fr">分享到：<img src="http://www.rmzxb.com.cn/images/fx.jpg" /> </span> </div> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="text_box"> <p align="center"> <p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;"><span style="text-indent: 2em; font-family: inherit; line-height: 1.6;">央广网北京7月3日消息（记者柴华）据中国之声《新闻晚高峰》报道，上市公司万科A明天（4日）终于要复牌了。在连续停牌的半年多时间里，万科“宫斗戏”百转千回、赚足眼球，在宣布复牌日期的本周五晚间，万科连发8条公告回应监管层与市场的各种疑问，以安民心。从最初的应对“恶意收购”、寻找重组方，到近期的重组方案被质疑、一致行动人左摇右摆、还有罢免议案，桩桩事件，似乎已经注定了明天复牌的万科A动荡的头几天。亿万眼球聚焦，万科A复牌究竟还会有怎样的走势，又将如何影响本就积弱的沪深股市呢？</span></p><div style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;"><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">周五，证监会回应表示，万科相关方的利益诉求应当依法依规在公司治理框架内妥善解决。各方应着眼长远，把?；ね蹲收呃妗⒋俳境ぴ斗⒄狗旁谑孜??；耙舾章?，当天晚间万科就发出了复牌公告。在经历了半年多的纷争之后，这只地产市场里举足轻重的龙头公司终于要重回市场，在真金白银的交易、K线走势中见证各方争议的实质影响了。几乎所有受访的投资者都认为，万科A难免下跌命运，不过，这种股价冲击波究竟有多大呢？</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">散户股民们都不乐观。有的散户股民认为，会有两到三个跌停。也有人认为，至少有三个跌停以上。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">单从历史数据上看，大盘目前的点位和走势对万科A也不利。在万科A停牌的半年多时间里，特别是年初几次触及熔断，整个市场都还没有回到去年底水平。上证综指半年跌幅约18%，沪深300跌去16%，万科A所在的房地产板块指数跌幅更深——23.34%。和自己比，早于万科A复牌的万科H股股价7月1号放量大涨，定格在15.2港元每股。而万科A呢？停牌时价格是24 .43元，近90%的AH股溢价率岂是纷争不断的万科能够承受的？所谓“覆巢之下安有完卵”，所以应该说“万科A会跌”“是很多人都能够、也不得不接受的一个短期未来。问题在于，两三个跌停之后，是“熊途漫漫无绝期”，还是“白衣骑士冲上来”？恐怕美好的愿望还有待高管层、列位大股东们自己去“斟酌损益，有所表示”了。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">证券研究人士尹国红分析表示，两、三个跌停是可以预期的。另一个方面来说，各方面的利润还没有完全均衡的行为，所有事情没有尘埃落地之前，整个股价的变化还会有变势。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">不可否认的是，万科A复牌，锁定的眼球远远不止持股投资者。停牌长达半年之久后，万科已经成为深市总市值第一的股票，同时也成为了深市第一大权重股，于是它回归市场后股东们账面损失多少钱是一方面，如果复牌大跌资本市场很可能要被万科股价大幅震荡拖累，这才是更多投资者眼前比较揪心的。有机构分析师算了一笔账，目前万科A在深成指中的权重比是2.72%。粗略计算，万科A一个跌停，深成指就得跌近30点。这样的重要地位又会不会成为下半年A股的首枚炸弹呢？</p><p style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: left;">申万宏源证券首席分析师桂浩明认为，去年年底的时候，一识指数比现在高得多。二是万科的股价炒的那么高，还有一个股权溢价的问题。现在这些环境都已经发生变化，下跌无可避免。但有两点，第一、市场对事情有所预期，即便是深成指有一定下跌，大家也都特别清楚，不是因为大势不好，而是因为万科的权重拖累；第二、现在来看，大家更多地习惯用上证综合指数作为一个表征，上证指数应该说是不会受它的影响的。所以，这个影响在一定程度上会淡化。从现在情况来看，市场完全可能摆脱万科的影响，因为从万科内部争议的演绎来看，更多地表现为股权之争以及发展方向之争。最近一段时间，房地产市场并不是很红火，人们更多地集中在一些中小创新型、成长型公司中。所以，万科即便拖累了深成指下跌，中小板、创业板指数仍然可以保持相对的前置。</p></div><p><br style="text-indent: 2em; text-align: 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