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id="i2i2jyu4k" class="pa_0_5_0_10"> <h1 class="Content_title" id="hh"> <span id="a" style="">沪指巨震跌3.34% 两市逾1500只个股跌停</span> </h1> <script>/*jQuery('#hh').width(jQuery('#a').width());*/</script> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="Remark"> <span>2015年06月29日 15:12 | 来源：<a target="_blank">网易财经 </a></span> <span id="i2i2jyu4k" class="fr">  <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="bdsharebuttonbox"><a href="#" class="bds_more" data-cmd="more"></a><a href="#" class="bds_qzone" data-cmd="qzone" title="分享到QQ空间"></a><a href="#" class="bds_tsina" data-cmd="tsina" title="分享到新浪微博"></a><a href="#" class="bds_tqq" data-cmd="tqq" title="分享到腾讯微博"></a><a href="#" class="bds_renren" data-cmd="renren" title="分享到人人网"></a><a href="#" class="bds_weixin" data-cmd="weixin" title="分享到微信"></a></div> <script>window._bd_share_config={"common":{"bdSnsKey":{},"bdText":"","bdMini":"2","bdMiniList":false,"bdPic":"","bdStyle":"0","bdSize":"16"},"share":{}};with(document)0[(getElementsByTagName('head')[0]||body).appendChild(createElement('script')).src='http://bdimg.share.baidu.com/static/api/js/share.js?v=89860593.js?cdnversion='+~(-new Date()/36e5)];</script>  </span><span id="i2i2jyu4k" class="fr">分享到：<img src="http://www.rmzxb.com.cn/images/fx.jpg" /> </span> </div> <div id="i2i2jyu4k" class="text_box"> <p align="center"> <p> 　　网易财经6月29日讯受央行降息和定向降准影响，两市大幅高开。开盘后，两市跳水，沪指失守4100点。午后大盘急速跳水，沪指暴跌逾7%，连续失守4000点、3900点。13：20过后，两市跌幅收窄，沪指重回4000点，振幅达10.07%。个股方面，两市1500余只个股跌停。截至收盘，沪指跌3.34%，报4053.03点，成交9043亿元；深成指跌5.78%，报13566.3点，成交6312亿元。</p> <p> 　　板块方面，网贷概念现跌停潮，板块内个股几近全线跌停。信息安全板块内24只个股全部跌停。国产软件走弱，石基信息、中科金财、久其软件等22只个股跌停。银行板块逆势走强，南京银行涨逾7%，宁波银行、民生银行涨逾3%。保险板块走强，新华保险涨逾3%。运输服务走强，招商轮船、中国国航涨停。</p> <p> 　　面对市场的极端走势，私募基金的观点分歧也在增大。一些私募机构乐观地认为，底部已经逐步显现，捡筹码的时刻已经到来，更认为本周是建仓的好时机。也有一些私募机构认为，牛市估值逻辑正在发生变化，市场投资情绪尚不稳定，建议投资人继续观望，后期极有可能走出W型震荡行情。</p> <p> 　　不过，结合多家私募观点可以看出，上半年热门的互联网金融、新能源、环保、医药、国企改革等代表改革与创新的主线行情仍将继续，但已很难出现普涨行情，接下来是两极分化，真正有业绩的公司会受到资本的追逐。</p> <p> 　　在众多市场人士眼中，本轮牛市产生的两大根基是估值和流动性。一些投资者认为，一旦流动性收紧，牛市即宣告结束。对此，国泰君安首席宏观分析师任泽平撰文指出，在经济企稳预期和流动性陷阱担忧下，货币政策放松的方向不变，但节奏放缓、工具调整，将对市场形成压力。</p> <p> 　　任泽平指出，首先宽松货币基调不变，目前经济仅是低水平企稳，物价通缩短期难以逆转。其次，面对流动性陷阱担忧，预计央行通过降息降准简单放水的概率下降，将转向PSL 等定向宽松。面临中长端利率过高和货币传导实体机制不畅问题，央行倾向于收短放长扭曲操作。</p> <p> 　　此外，PSL对流动性的影响，相比降息降准的效应下降。定向PSL 第一关直接进入实体经济，且挤出商业银行放贷量有限的问题，因此，货币政策工具从降准降息转为PSL 后，会增加货币总量，但这些资金不会在金融市场运转，对市场流动性的影响呈现边际性递减趋势。</p> <p> 　　最后，6 月25 日央行时隔2 月进行350 亿元7 天逆回购操作，招标利率下调65BP 至2.7%，意在缓解利率上升和流动性紧张压力。任泽平认为，短期影响是暂时的，市场会不会转向要看中长期的影响。他仍然认为，从目前看，改革推进、货币政策宽松和监管层发展资本市场的三大牛市根基都还在。同时，他也提醒投资者，牛市根基的三大要素在边际上都在发生变化。</p> <p> 　　他进一步指出，人们对改革的信心还在，但市场开始检验改革诚意；货币政策的方向依然是宽松的，但节奏和工具会有变化；而查场外配资，代表监管层提示风险、控制牛市节奏，但并不意味着监管层要打压市场。</p> <p> </p> </div> <p class="Editor">编辑：罗韦 </p> <div 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